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Question time psychosis

I read (via the ABC) that our new Greens MP Adam Bandt believes that the hallowed institution of Question Time is in danger of becoming a farce:

There is a real risk that we are about to lose one of the key opportunities that Parliament has to hold the executive accountable and to ask ministers to think on their feet.

What really is the fulcrum of Parliament, something the nation tunes in to every day and an opportunity to put ministers on the spot, runs the risk of descending into a scripted farce.

At the moment we have the length of Question Time being determined by what time Play School comes on television.

I can understand and sympathise with Bandt, but this strikes me as being a little naïve. Question Time has almost never been anything but a farce.

Each question from a Government MP is a blank cheque for the relevant minister to burble on about how great they are. Each question from the Opposition is just a rhetorical salvo designed to damage the government's credibility. It's been like that since the dawn of time, and our adversarial, two-party system almost guarantees it will stay that way. Independent MPs - including, presumably, Mr Bandt himself - are the only ones even remotely likely to use Question Time as a means of acquiring information and so informing the public. However, they get very few opportunities to do so, and such cool-headed rational discourse appears not to rate very highly in media coverage.

So, when Tony Abbott decides to disrupt Question Time with spurious censure motions over Gillard's carbon tax, who really cares? Sure, he's being a supercilious git, but it's not as if he's disrupting anything important. I shall elaborate by way of the following diagram:

If we can make Question Time not an unmitigated farce (or we can get rid of people likely to care about democracy), then we can worry about Abbott's choreography.

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I’m not racist, because…

Following on from that racism study, the comments below SBS's article on the subject threaten to provide some good starting material for an incarnation of internet bingo.

Again the Left shows its superficiality. If people are wary of Islam, then they are not racist because Islam is not a race. It's a religion.

Aha! Religion, not race, therefore prejudice is impossible! I am overwhelmed by non-superficiality.

If 10% of Aussies are racist, I say most of of that 10% are of Arab, Asian background. Colonial Aussies are not really racist, they are culturally biased.

I'm not racist - it's those other races that are racist! Get your stinking paws off me you damn racist Arabs! Learn to be "culturally biased" instead, like proper, refined white folk.

Because I am concerned about the radical elements of Islam in Australia, I am deemed to be racist.

Well, you know, the survey didn't find that you personally were racist - you seem to have worked that out yourself.

To love the culture and race which ones heratige originates over that of others is not racism.

So, nothing wrong with "white pride" then? Just a bit of cultural fun.

This is all in stark contrast to the comments below the corresponding ABC article, which managed to avoid using the word "racism". Commenters at the ABC seemed to be far less defensive.

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The economics of insanity

I learnt a new phrase today - "lexicographic preference" - courtesy of economics professor J. Bradford DeLong. Before I tell you what it means, let me show you what kind of thinking it produces (not on DeLong's part, but on those he ridicules).

Here are two quotes (don't look at the links just yet). First:

I think there’s a good case to be made that taxing people to protect the Earth from an asteroid, while within Congress’s powers, is an illegitimate function of government from a moral perspective.

Second:

We believe that the decisions of how to deal with the massive asteroid are best left to the individual.

You'd be right to smell satire. However, only one of the above quotes is satirical. The other is quite serious. (This is a manifestation of Poe's Law.)

The second quote comes from The Onion; the first comes from Sasha Volokh, who apparently didn't get the joke. I shall defer to some other great commentary on this by J. Bradford DeLong:

So not only does Sasha Volokh claim that it is immoral to tax people to blow up an asteroid (or install lightning rods, or mandate lightning rods, or pay for a tree-trimming crew on the public roads), but it is immoral to tell people of an approaching asteroid so they can scramble to safety because it will cause violations of rights through looting.

And then John Quiggin:

The general point is that if some physical state of the world would require government action inconsistent with libertarian principles or conservative tribal taboos, then since libertarianism/conservatism is always right, logic dictates that the physical state in question must be impossible.

DeLong attributes Volokh's thinking to "lexicographic preference", which is economics jargon. Imagine you are selecting between alternatives, and you have several criteria to base your decision on. If I understand correctly, choosing lexicographically means applying each criterion in turn (as if you were comparing the letters in two words to place them in dictionary order; hence the name). You stop at the first criterion that distinguishes the alternatives.

For such absolutist libertarians as Sasha Volokh, the first criterion is upholding individual rights. If the available courses of action both uphold rights, or both fail to uphold rights, then we can move onto the second criterion (e.g. preservation of human civilisation). However, (a) libertarians in general tend to argue that taxation is theft, and (b) Volokh in particular argues that we do not, strictly speaking, have the right to survive a natural disaster. Thus, the first criterion does distinguish between the alternatives, and so we never need consider any other factors. Thus, government is morally obliged to do nothing to save humanity.

DeLong also highlights another phenomenon - the tendency in the face of extremism to declare a legitimate debate (specifically, in this case, by one Ilya Somin):

Somin's insanity is… a second-order insanity — the insanity of taking first-order insane claims to be questions about which reasonable people can disagree.

In other words, Volokh's position is demonstrably insane, and those who think that it can form part of a legitimate debate, as opposed to an object of ridicule, are themselves at least mildly insane.

Now, having understood the preceding arguments, most thinking people probably have pet topics to which they envisage an application.

In my case, lexicographic preference reminds me a lot of the political quagmire associated with unathorised boat arrivals. Politicians and commentators (especially of the Liberal persuasion), cast this as a crisis in which the only acceptable outcome is the total absence of any further "boat people". There is no consideration for either (a) the humanitarian situation, (b) the diplomatic situation, or (c) the costs involved (or indeed anything else). In evaluating a given policy, the last three factors are irrelevant as long as there is some effect - no matter how small - on the number of boats. A policy that results in x boat arrivals is incontestably superior to one that results in x + 1 arrivals, no matter the cost, diplomatic or humanitarian implications.

Unfortunately, this is such a widely-held variety of insanity that any second-order insanity (i.e. that there is a legitimate argument that we should favour fewer boat arrivals no matter the consequences) is redundant.

A better demonstration of second-order insanity lies in the never-ending racism/multiculturalism debate. Here, Kevin Andrews was one the latest purveyors of this particular type of nonsense (after the British PM David Cameron had taken the lead of Angela Merkel in announcing the supposed failure of multiculturalism):

Mr Andrews described the British prime minister's comments as "fairly sensible" and relevant to Australia.

"I think there is a risk [of ethnic enclaves] in Australia," Mr Andrews said.

"What actually concerns me the most is that we can't have a discussion about it," he said, as he pushed for a public debate on the issue.

Of course, we can have a discussion about the merits of multiculturalism, in much the same way that we can have a discussion about the merits of using tax dollars to stop asteroids from annihilating civilisation. It really just depends on your preferred level of insanity.

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I’m not latently racist, but…

It's an interesting exercise getting people to admit to racism. The ABC reports on a nation-wide survey (or rather a collection of state-wide surveys) exploring the nature and extent of racist attitudes in Australia.

Only 1 in 8 people were prepared to explicitly admit to racial prejudice. Yet, 1 in 2 people were found to be "anti-Muslim", 1 in 4 were "anti-Indigenous", 1 in 4 were "anti-Asian", 1 in 4 were anti-Semitic and 1 in 4 were "anti-black African" (approximately, in each case). Clearly there is a disconnect, but how did the researchers manage to uncover it? By asking the following question:

In your opinion how concerned would you feel if one of your close relatives were to marry a person of…?

(This question was asked once for each of five national/ethic groups - Asian, Indigenous, Italian, British and black African - and three religious affiliations - Muslim, Jewish and Christian. )

In other words, though you might not identify yourself as prejudiced, your prejudices can be revealed by having you imagine a personal association with someone different. People are evidentially very good at fooling themselves when it comes to racial prejudice; hence the expression "I'm not racist, but…", which is almost invariably followed by something mind-bendingly racist. As a society, we've learnt by rote that racism is bad, but a lot of us clearly don't understand why. Thus, we perform mental gymnastics to allow us to be racist without acknowledging it.

Of course, there are lots of ways in which racism can be worse than concern over interracial marriage in your own family. There was some relatively good news from the survey:

  • Less than 1 in 10 people felt insecure "with people of different ethic backgrounds".
  • Less than 1 in 15 people felt that society ought not to be "made up of people from different cultures".

Maybe this is where our "latent racism" comes in. We're happy to work with people from different backgrounds, but we don't truly think of them as equals. This shows up in the 41% agreement with the following statement:

Australia is weakened by people of different ethnic origins sticking to their old ways.

This is a curious form of wording. "Old ways" seems to invite respondents to fantasise about all manner of archaic, barbaric practices that might occur in Ethnicistan. The statement is not loaded per se - it is perfectly possible to give a reasonable, straight "agree" or "disagree". However, like the marriage question, it is cleverly designed to press our buttons and draw out latent prejudice.

The responses to that original marriage question also turn the "integration" debate on its head. For years, politicians and commentators have cried out for migrants, especially Muslims, to "integrate" into Australian society. Interracial, inter-religious, inter-ethnic marriage is surely one of the best markers of successful integration. If Muslim migrants are to be truly integrated into Australian society, such marriage is an inevitable, perhaps crucial part of the process. And yet, on a personal level, it would be a cause for concern for half of all Australians. It is concerning, presumably, for many of the very same people1 who complain about the lack of integration.

Hopefully those 14 out of 15 Australians are not just paying lip service to diversity.

  1. I tend to be wary of the phrase "the same people who…", because often it's a device to conjure up fictional double standards for your opponents. Often there's no evidence that the people in question are the same at all. I'll concede that some of the people complaining of the lack of Muslim integration might not be concerned about their own relatives marrying Muslims. I'm not really worried about anyone who holds that combination of views, because race riots are not conducted by those with such nuanced opinions. I fear it's a little too nuanced for many of us, though. []

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Nothing so humble

The ABC reports that Scott Morrison "climbs down in funeral row":

Opposition immigration spokesman Scott Morrison has admitted he was "insensitive" to question the cost of funerals as families mourned for those lost in the Christmas Island shipwreck tragedy yesterday.

News Ltd reported that  Morrison was sorry for his "insensitive and inappropriate" comments:

A CHASTENED Scott Morrison today apologised for "insensitive and inappropriate" comments on the funerals of asylum seekers killed in December's boat tragedy.

This is actually quite a distorted interpretation of Morrison's remarks. If you read what he actually said, as reported in both articles, it's hard to come to the conclusion that he's "climbing down" in any meaningful sense. According to the News Ltd article:

He told 2GB "the timing of my comments over the last 24 hours was insensitive and was inappropriate".

"I know probably more than anyone how strongly people feel about this issue, how angry they get about the costs that are involved and I share that anger and I want to see that changed," he said.

"But there is a time and a place."

Morrison is not sorry for what he said at all, but merely when he said it. That's not an apology, but simply political manoeuvring. It appears he's trying to conflate the funeral costs with overall asylum seeker processing costs.

If Morrison were genuinely sorry, he'd do the following in a long statement to the mass media:

  • explicitly disown his remarks;
  • show some leadership and not kowtow to or stoke populist fears;
  • make an argument in favour of the funeral arrangements and the consequent government expenditure;
  • make an effort to separate the issue of funeral costs from the broader "unauthorised boat arrivals"  issue; and
  • not immediately go back on the offensive (which would simply dilute the apology).

In reality, Morrison is just trying to have us ignore what he said. The problem is that there are a large number of people who probably agreed with him the first time, and who themselves will just see this "apology" for the meaningless non-concession that it is. Each time a high-ranking politician utters remarks like Morrison's, it further emboldens the nutters who want to see, for instance, an end to "Muslim immigration".

If Morrison were genuinely sorry, he wouldn't try to gain political ground from both the moderates who might think he apologised and the nutters who know that he didn't. If Morrison were genuinely sorry, he would be trying to undo the damage he caused by passionately refuting his own remarks. He isn't sorry - he's gaming the electorate.

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Leader of the second bureaucracy

Abbott on Gillard's decision to establish a "rebuilding inspectorate":

By putting in place this new body, this new bureaucracy to oversee the flood and the storm spending, they have accepted that the public don't believe they can be trusted with money.

You should not need a second bureaucracy to ensure that the first bureaucracy spends money wisely.

Of course, Iron Man Abbott would conduct the entire reconstruction single-handedly, crafting thatched roofs from torn up NBN fibre. After all, we apparently don't need him in his current role as Leader of the Second Bureaucracy. Isn't that what the Opposition is for, after all?

Speaking of which, there is a reason Gillard is Leader of the First Bureaucracy, instead of Abbott, and it might have something to do with being "trusted with money"; specifically, $11 billion of it that didn't really exist. If Abbott had been in power we might have needed a Third Bureaucracy to keep things in check, in case the Second Bureaucracy died from sheer exhaustion.

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Abbott’s contribution

There is something terribly misanthropic about this sentence:

PS. Click to donate to help our campaign against Labor's flood tax

This is the flood tax intended to pay for the rebuilding of Queensland's public infrastructure, and the sentence appeared in an email sent by Tony Abbott. I know it's your job to oppose things Tony, but for the time being could you possibly focus your fundraising efforts on the unfolding disaster itself and not on your own political career?

The ABC reports that:

A spokesman for Mr Abbott says the link was added by the Liberal Party headquarters.

Oh good, so it wasn't just one person but rather an institutional problem. How comforting.

Looking at the larger picture, Annabel Crabb points out that it surely doesn't matter exactly how we pay for the rebuilding; whether the money comes from an extra tax or extra government debt. What matters - especially in the aftermath of Cyclone Yasi - is that the government has a plan. It doesn't have to be the best plan, conforming to conventional political ideology - just a workable plan. A little bipartisanship wouldn't hurt.

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